九月十九2022 行情分析


FPG财盛国际:墨西哥湾关闭约11%石油产能,黄金多头似乎觉醒?

昨日美国国债收益率和美元有所回落,加之周三俄罗斯在乌四地派驻军官等因素,导致黄金产生避险,这给市场带来了一定的买盘,黄金大幅拉升。另外英国央行周三表示,从现在到10月14日期间,将根据需要购买尽可能多的长期政府债券,以稳定金融市场。他并补充说,将推迟下周开始的金边债券销售计划。间接打压了美元,利多了黄金。

技术方面:昨日黄金3次下跌都没有跌破1616,黄金技术以此为低点开始向上大幅拉升,从4小时图来看,50周期EMA继续施压黄金,金价继续在看空通道内交易,从而巩固看空趋势继续占据主导地位的预期。需要指出的是,若金价反弹突破1656.00美元/盎司,这将止住预期中的跌势,并推动金价开始日内修正性看涨走势。日内短期压力:1660-1678-1680,下方支撑:1645-1630-1620
 
昨日根据美国国家飓风中心的报告:飓风“伊恩”来袭,墨西哥湾关闭约11%石油产能,约相当于15.77万桶/日的减产,这对原油是一波利好消息,此外消息称,欧佩克+非常可能在10月5日的会议上达成每日减产50万桶原油的新协议。如果一旦被市场广泛认可,原油将可能开启大幅反弹。

技术方面:昨日美原油日内延续震荡走弱,目前看暂交投于77.80美元/桶附近徘徊。随着全球经济前景和原油需求前景担忧进一步加深,全球股市普遍走弱,但是随后因OPEC+的消息大幅反弹,最高触及82.16高点,预计日内将可能继续走高,短期压力:82.61-84.00,下方支撑:81.80-80.77.

 

以上分析仅为市场研究员观点,仅供参考,不作为具体投资建议。

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南师

从事外汇、股票、期货等金融实战交易14年,曾担任过招行特约分析师,同时精通EA编码与研发,结合量、价、时、空理论自创《四维回合制理论》,交易盈利连续保持数年正增长。

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