六月六日 2022 行情分析

FPG财盛国际:非农好于预期,黄金跌势或已显现

上周五美国经济5月新增39万个就业岗位,而非农业就业岗位预计将增加32.8万个;失业率维持在3.6%不变,预期为3.5%;平均时薪上升0.3%,预期为0.4%。美国非农就业人数增幅高于预期强化连续加息预期,黄金承压暴跌。当前我们已知6月和7月加息已经是必然,但是周五的非农可能让美联储的加息延长至9月,继续以50个基点的速度前置加息,以达到中性利率水平,不过确认是否加息要等待本周的CPI报告,如果该数据配合,美联储加息至9月的预期将可能达到峰值,届时黄金可能会受到强大的压力,所以当前的消息面可能对黄金十分不利,除非新的消息刺激。

技术方面:日线黄金,形成了乌云盖顶的K线形态,短期预示着黄金将可能进一步走跌,一小时图来看,目前黄金依然处于下跌趋势当中的修正走势当中,形态上属于楔形反弹,上方受制于1859-1869-1877的切线压制,下方受1780-1830的依托,整体结构空头偏强,预计空头将会在合适的价格进行介入,或者等待下跌驱动的确认,短期行情压力:1855-1853,下方支撑:1840-1835-1830.

以上分析仅为市场研究员观点,仅供参考,不作为具体投资建议。

南师

从事外汇、股票、期货等金融实战交易14年,曾担任过招行特约分析师,同时精通EA编码与研发,结合量、价、时、空理论自创《四维回合制理论》,交易盈利连续保持数年正增长。

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